Every active investor should follow the IPO market. Why?
The IPO market gives you a front-row seat to the direction of equity markets.
The S&P 500 briefly crossed into a bear market on Friday. However the IPO market was flashing red as early as December. Time and again we see IPOs serve as a barometer on the way up and down, months before the broader market turns.
Two small IPOs began trading this week, a cannabis grower and a Canadian education company. Both saw the same “pop-and-drop” trading pattern as other recent small deals. Two SPAC mergers also closed this week with disappointing results. A whopping seven SPACs announced mergers, including Paul Ryan’s ENPC, which plans to buy an energy E&P.
The IPO pipeline remains largely frozen, though AIG spinoff Corebridge Financial (NYSE: CRBG) updated financials in a sign that it may still come in the second quarter. A number of consumer companies have also updated recently.
News broke that one of the world’s most valuable pre-IPO unicorns, payment platform Klarna may raise funding well below its last valuation. That’s just the tip of the down-round iceberg, as private rounds usually lag public markets.
The IPO market closed -2.9% lower this week, compared to -3.0% for the S&P 500. COVID-19 vaccine developer CureVac was the IPO Index’s winner up +19.6%, while plant-based meat supplier Beyond Meat lost -22.0% after earnings.
Take care,
Bill Smith
Co-Founder and CEO
Renaissance Capital
Biggest price changes through
May 20th
in the
Renaissance IPO Index
|
||
---|---|---|
Top 5 | ||
CureVac | CVAC | 19.6% |
Upstart Holdings | UPST | 17.2% |
dLocal | DLO | 14.2% |
DigitalOcean | DOCN | 12.9% |
Marqeta | MQ | 11.2% |
Bottom 5 | ||
Beyond Meat | BYND | -22.0% |
Nu Holdings | NU | -21.0% |
Petco Health and Wellness | WOOF | -18.9% |
Cloudflare | NET | -16.1% |
GitLab | GTLB | -15.2% |
Sectors | ||
Health Care | 2.5% | |
Industrials | 1.3% | |
Financials | -1.1% | |
Real Estate | -1.5% | |
Technology | -2.0% | |
Consumer Discretionary | -3.3% | |
Consumer Staples | -6.2% |
Renaissance IPO ETF (NYSE symbol: IPO) tracks the Renaissance IPO Index
The Renaissance IPO Index returned -2.9% last week vs. -3.0% for the S&P 500.